Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 2.350319 2.682076 3.044293 3.469202 3.954143 4.490526 5.129098
2025-08-24 1.853103 2.306957 2.847076 3.537642 4.397936 5.435547 6.784036
2025-08-31 1.574936 2.081236 2.720462 3.587585 4.734990 6.203993 8.232365
2025-09-07 1.355600 1.880982 2.577161 3.568481 4.946750 6.799922 9.489466
2025-09-14 1.175285 1.701106 2.427634 3.506587 5.072451 7.269302 10.598745
2025-09-21 1.041816 1.565961 2.317800 3.477194 5.225779 7.774361 11.790102
2025-09-28 0.926426 1.441273 2.205407 3.424960 5.330016 8.205119 12.899468
2025-10-05 0.900156 1.446279 2.283156 3.662558 5.889499 9.362164 15.225052
2025-10-12 0.830844 1.375399 2.234970 3.694792 6.124787 10.031028 16.834282
2025-10-19 0.790789 1.346620 2.248937 3.825388 6.526719 10.996078 19.013285
2025-10-26 0.725966 1.269529 2.175508 3.801133 6.663827 11.530506 20.506870
2025-11-02 0.669968 1.201648 2.110367 3.782909 6.805959 12.080165 22.070398
2025-11-09 0.607628 1.120745 2.022423 3.729334 6.904705 12.605837 23.727619
2025-11-16 0.570167 1.081680 2.006015 3.806114 7.253575 13.624907 26.429419
2025-11-23 0.533686 1.040006 1.979659 3.859741 7.561642 14.594858 29.137250
2025-11-30 0.491734 0.983118 1.918549 3.839178 7.722546 15.298110 31.394207
2025-12-07 0.449002 0.920002 1.838766 3.772537 7.783292 15.808481 33.312030
2025-12-14 0.414708 0.870157 1.779800 3.740890 7.909846 16.459273 35.585506
2025-12-21 0.381412 0.818842 1.712608 3.684651 7.977926 16.994010 37.665325
2025-12-28 0.380905 0.836670 1.789302 3.940472 8.736529 19.050654 43.285915
2026-01-04 0.360040 0.808218 1.765456 3.975179 9.014675 20.100314 46.765174
2026-01-11 0.349709 0.801942 1.788530 4.115798 9.542770 21.749031 51.792636
2026-01-18 0.326863 0.765012 1.740472 4.089681 9.685912 22.544022 54.898555